How construction costs and inflation are reshaping project feasibility
Written by David Lovato – CPC Development Lending Solutions
February 2026
For small and mid-sized developers, project feasibility has always been a balancing act between costs, end values and funding. In 2026, that balance is becoming harder to maintain.
High construction costs and rising inflation are now front and centre in feasibility assessments, and in many cases are the difference between a project proceeding or being shelved.
Construction costs are still rising
Recent data showed construction cost growth is no longer surging at the pace seen during the post-COVID boom, but it is still rising. Cotality’s Cordell Construction Cost Index recorded a 1.0% increase in the December 2025 quarter, the strongest quarterly growth of the year.
The annual growth rate of 2.5% was significantly below the extreme peaks of recent years and the pre-COVID decade average of 4.7%. But for developers working on tight margins, any upward movement matters.
Structural timber and cement products recorded price rises after remaining stable for much of 2025, while wage increases following the Fair Work minimum wage update are adding to labour costs. Skilled trade shortages and supply chain adjustments are expected to remain challenges through 2026.
This uncertainty makes accurate cost forecasting – already tricky – even more difficult.
Inflation and interest rates
Inflation is also proving persistent. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA’s) preferred trimmed mean measure reached 3.3% year-on-year to December, up from 3.2% the month before, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics. This was outside the RBA’s 2-3% target band.
Housing-related costs – including rents and new dwelling construction – remained key contributors.
In response to this inflation news, the RBA lifted the cash rate to 3.85% at its first meeting of 2026. Even if further increases are limited, the move reinforces a “higher for longer” rate environment.
For developers, this creates a double squeeze. Higher rates increase your borrowing costs for land and construction, while also reducing buyer borrowing capacity, which can discourage buyers from entering the market. A slowdown in demand can dampen price growth, meaning end values for completed projects may not rise as robustly as developers had hoped when factoring in rising input costs.
The feasibility challenge
This dual pressure creates a significant challenge. Without end value increases to offset rising construction costs, many projects won’t stack up anymore. Developers are finding that deals that may have looked viable six months ago no longer meet required return thresholds.
Feasibility buffers can be quickly eroded. A modest build cost variation, slower pre-sales or a few extra months on the schedule can significantly reduce margins. With thinner margins, the tolerance for error is lower than it has been in years.
Opportunities still exist, but discipline is key
None of this means development opportunities have disappeared. Australia continues to face a structural housing shortage, listings remain below trend and supply constraints persist. There is still strong demand for well-located, appropriately priced projects, particularly in affordable segments and growth corridors.
Government initiatives are also helping support feasible projects. Programs such as New South Wales’ Pre-sale Finance Guarantee can reduce risk for lenders and improve funding access for qualifying developments, while federal tax incentives for Build to Rent projects can boost after-tax returns and improve overall project viability for eligible developers.
However, feasibility studies now need to be more conservative and detailed. Lenders are increasingly stress-testing projects against higher rates, and you need to factor in cost escalation and slower price growth. Realistic timelines, detailed cost plans and careful revenue assumptions are becoming essential.
Finance strategy matters more than ever
In this environment, finance structure plays a larger role in the success of your project. Loan terms, lender appetite, pre-sale requirements and flexibility can all influence project outcomes.
Working with a specialist development finance broker can make a real difference. At CPC Lending Solution, we understand how different lenders assess risk, feasibility and locations, and can match projects to lenders with the right appetite.
We can also help package your finance application to clearly present your contingencies, margins and cost controls – all areas lenders are scrutinising more closely in the current climate.
You can read more about how CPC approaches development finance in our CPC Lending Solution’s Development Lending Guide.
CPC Lending Solutions helps developers structure finance that reflects today’s cost pressures and feasibility realities. If you’re planning a residential or mixed-use project, contact CPC at info@crowdpropertycapital.com.au or submit an enquiry to structure your finance with confidence.













